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Core PCE Price Index
Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, excluding food and energy
128.64
Index
- Forecast
MAE
0.171
RMSE
0.466
MAPE
2.90%
Direction Accuracy
93.2%
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Nonfarm Payrolls
Total non-farm employment, key labor market indicator
159526.00
Thousands
- Forecast
MAE
1.117
RMSE
2.266
MAPE
2.13%
Direction Accuracy
72.7%
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Industrial Production
Manufacturing, mining, and utilities output index
101.84
Index
- Forecast
MAE
1.922
RMSE
1.686
MAPE
4.96%
Direction Accuracy
82.3%
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10Y-2Y Treasury Spread
Yield curve indicator, predictor of economic cycles
2.84
Percentage
- Forecast
MAE
1.743
RMSE
0.577
MAPE
1.80%
Direction Accuracy
93.5%
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10-Year Treasury Rate
Long-term interest rate benchmark
5.89
Percentage
- Forecast
MAE
1.748
RMSE
1.912
MAPE
2.15%
Direction Accuracy
91.9%
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2-Year Treasury Rate
Short-term rate sensitive to Fed policy
6.51
Percentage
- Forecast
MAE
1.952
RMSE
2.607
MAPE
2.16%
Direction Accuracy
74.4%
AI Analysis
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